Good Morning!  The 80+ degree heat continues – and will be  around through Wednesday.  Yesterday Montgomery (MGM) tied a 1918 record with 85.  We’ll be near 85 again today and tomorrow, before a quick shot of colder air arrives.  Last night, north Alabama had several strong storms, prompting multiple warnings and taking down hundreds of trees.  Alabama’s next Severe event is looming for Wednesday evening and Wednesday night.  The Severe threat covers all but southeast Alabama. The northwest counties have a Level 2 threat.  All modes of Severe Weather are possible including tornadoes.  Then, expect a quick shot of colder air, arriving daytime Thursday.  We could reach the upper 30’s Thursday Night.  The Huge Cool-down won’t last too long.  We’ll rebound to the upper 70’s Saturday and lower 80’s Sunday.  Expect another temperature plunge around St. Patrick’s Day. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:  Patchy AM fog in spots.  Mostly Cloudy through tonight.  High 85.  Low 64.  SW wind 5 to 10 mph.

The Next Severe Weather threat.  Today will be a busy day over a huge region.  A couple of Level 3 Enhanced risks.  The system moves toward Alabama tomorrow.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Expect mid 80’s through Wednesday. Alabama’s next Severe event is looming for Wednesday evening and Wednesday night.  The Severe threat covers all but southeast Alabama. The northwest counties have a Level 2 threat.  All modes of Severe Weather are possible including tornadoes.  Expect a significant temperature crash Thursday.  We could fall into the upper 30’s Thursday night.  We’ll rebound back to the 70’s Saturday and lower 80’s Sunday.

Here’s the SPC Day 2 – Wednesday Severe Risk.  (primarily Wednesday night for us)    All modes of Severe Weather are possible including tornadoes. 

Here’s a couple of radar samples in the overnight hours Wednesday night/Thursday AM.  Looks like we’ll be dealing with a strong line of storms (QLCS),  some possibly severe.

The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend.  A big cool-down  by  Thursday.  Coldest morning will be Friday AM. Then a warmer weekend – before another set-back next week.  

Here’s the Euro Ensembles 16 day guidance.  Another big set-back possible near St. Patrick’s Day.

Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1.  I’ll have another update for you in the 4  o’clock hour tomorrow morning.  Have a nice day.

–Rich